46 15 4 Rank in State, Class, District |
895 127 Strength Momentum |
1025 41.0(54) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/24/15 | at La Cueva | 0.000 | 1493 | L 0-10 | Expected (-4) | 686 | 4% | |
08/26/15 | Rio Grande | 0.000 | 931 | W 4- 0 | Better (+4) | 1102 | 48% | |
08/29/15 | at Volcano Vista | 0.000 | 1463 | L 0- 9 | Expected (-3) | 726 | 5% | |
09/02/15 | Highland ?? | 0.001 | 907 | L 0- 3 | Worse (-3) | 739 | 51% | |
09/04/15 | Valley | 0.001 | 1049 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-2) | 810 | 35% | |
09/08/15 | Valencia | 0.003 | 1086 | L 0- 2 | Expected (0) | 878 | 31% | |
09/10/15 | Los Lunas | 0.005 | 1093 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+1) | 932 | 30% | |
09/12/15 | at Piedra Vista ? | 0.005 | 1001 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-4) | 707 | 35% | |
09/15/15 | Belen | 0.010 | 975 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-1) | 823 | 43% | |
09/19/15 | at Miyamura | 0.023 | 675 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-3) | 746 | 71% | |
09/23/15 | at Bernalillo ! | 0.039 | 958 | W 1- 0 | Better (+2) | 988 | 40% | |
09/24/15 | at Rio Grande | 0.041 | 931 | W 3- 1 | Better (+3) | 1025 | 43% | |
09/29/15 | at Capital !! | 0.086 | 1074 | W 3- 2 | Better (+3) | 1046 | 28% | |
10/03/15 | West Mesa | 0.137 | 889 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-1) | 830 | 53% | |
10/06/15 | Los Alamos | 0.147 | 1278 | L 0- 3 | Expected (+1) | 924 | 15% | |
10/10/15 | Bernalillo | 0.291 | 958 | W 1- 0 | Better (+1) | 965 | 45% | |
10/17/15 | Capital | 0.425 | 1074 | L 1- 3 | Expected (0) | 873 | 32% | |
10/24/15 | at Los Alamos | 0.095 | 1278 | L 1-11 | Expected (-6) | 578 | 13% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Del Norte actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1025, while
Del Norte's "weighted playing strength" is 890
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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